Day-of-week profile
Mean value by weekday; useful for operational staffing rhythm.
Seasonality console
Fold demand onto the rhythms the forecast has to survive.
Choose a series, then compare weekday behavior, the annual cycle, long-run trend, residual volatility, and year-over-year shape. This view is for explaining when pressure is structural, seasonal, or noisy.
Series
Month-of-year profile
The 12-point annual cycle; watch for winter peaks and shoulder-season breaks.
MSTL decomposition
Long trend, weather-linked cold overlay, and residual noise on one inspection surface.
Year-over-year overlay
Each calendar year on a Jan-Dec axis to expose repeated seasonal shape.
Method. MSTL from statsmodels with weekly and annual periods. Seasonal strength = 1 - var(residual) / var(residual + seasonal). Values describe signal structure; they are not causal estimates.